Statistical Analysis of Hibs’ Difficult Start to the Season

Hibs currently sit at the bottom of the Premiership table, having secured only one win in 12 matches and accumulating just eight points out of a possible 36, indicating a challenging start to their season. This analysis delves into the statistics underpinning their current poor performance. Regarding offensive performance, Hibs have scored only 11 goals; only Ross County, with 10 goals, has a lower tally. Consequently, the Edinburgh-based team is significantly underperforming its expected goals (xG) of 14.68, placing them nearly four goals below their projected output. Their shot conversion rate stands at 7.24, which is the lowest in the league. For comparison, league leaders Aberdeen possess a shot conversion rate exceeding 17, while St Johnstone, who narrowly avoided relegation last season, recorded 11.35. Out of 152 shots taken by Hibs across their 12 matches, only 41 have been on target. This places them as the third lowest in the league for efforts on target, with only Hearts and Kilmarnock registering fewer. Defensively, David Gray’s team has committed three errors directly leading to goals, which is the second-highest figure in the top flight, surpassed only by Dundee. In comparison to the same stage last season, Hibs had accumulated seven more points, having played one additional game, with a record of three wins and six draws. This season, their single victory is accompanied by 11 points forfeited from winning positions, marking the highest such total in the top flight. Dundee and Kilmarnock are the next closest teams, having dropped eight points while in a leading position. Conversely, Hibs have gained only one point from a losing position, which is also the second-lowest total in the top flight.