This period marks one of the year’s most significant shopping weekends, yet numerous Canadians might find their Black Friday purchases do not arrive before Christmas. This situation could prove devastating for small businesses already facing considerable challenges. With a national postal service strike at Canada Post now in its second week, many businesses report substantial financial setbacks as customers await their orders. Merchandise remains in storage facilities nationwide, and shipping expenses have escalated. Lorne James, proprietor of Otter Valley Railway, a model train enterprise located in Tillsonburg, Ontario, estimates a sales reduction of C$120,000 ($85,600; £67,200) since the strike commenced. “It’s going to wipe out a good number of businesses,” he informed the BBC. He calculated that approximately 80% of his sales originate online, and until two weeks ago, Canada Post handled 99% of his deliveries. Discussions between Canada Post and the Canadian Union of Postal Workers (CUPOW) have collapsed amidst significant financial losses, particularly concerning the proposal to employ temporary staff to facilitate a seven-day-a-week delivery schedule. Bruce Winder, a Canadian retail analyst, noted that while the expansion of online retail has fostered the emergence of new courier services, Canada Post frequently offers the most economical option and possesses the infrastructure to serve rural areas that many competitors do not. Mr. Winder stated that the timing of the strike is exceptionally poor. He explained to the BBC that for companies selling giftable items, Christmas sales can constitute 30-40% of their yearly income. He further anticipates that Canadians were already planning to reduce their spending this year due to rising living costs. “It’s a double whammy, you know, because they’ve got the Canada Post strike and they’ve got sort of negative consumer sentiment,” he remarked. Mr. James indicated that he is faring better than most because he secured agreements with alternative delivery providers before the strike. However, the cost of international shipping with different carriers proved prohibitive, causing him to miss out on certain orders this holiday period. In an open communication, Shopify, a Canadian firm assisting businesses with online store setups, implored the government to intervene to “prevent a devastating blow to Canadian small businesses at their most critical time of year.” This communication followed the suspension of talks on Wednesday by the federally appointed mediator. “His assessment is that parties remain too far apart on critical issues for mediation to be successful at this time,” Labour Minister Steven MacKinnon posted on X. The union states it is negotiating for wage increases to match inflation, improved benefits, and a commitment from the company not to hire external contractors. Conversely, Canada Post asserts its need for more flexible working hours and the recruitment of additional temporary staff to implement seven-day delivery and enhance its competitive position. The union conveyed to the BBC that the current impasse “didn’t need to be this way.” “[We] only took the difficult decision to call a strike after Canada Post announced the end to the existing collective agreements, an end to health benefits and to lay-offs,” the union declared in a statement. The statement also mentioned that postal workers are “deeply aware” of the adverse effects the strike is having on communities, highlighting their choice to postpone contract negotiations to ensure deliveries continued throughout the pandemic. It claimed the company is attempting to substitute full-time unionized positions with temporary “gig” workers. In a statement provided to the BBC, the company acknowledged its understanding of the strike’s impact on Canadians but maintained that it could not afford to forgo essential transformations. “With mounting financial losses in the billions, Canada Post requires greater flexibility to its outdated, mail-based delivery model. This is about the future of the postal service and growing revenues by better serving Canadians.” The union, meanwhile, expressed its conviction that the company can achieve profitability without relying on gig work, citing its proposal to adopt the UK model of post offices offering low-fee mail banking services. According to Ian Lee, a public policy professor at Carleton University who has researched the country’s postal service for decades, the core issue is the very survival of Canada Post itself. “It’s Armageddon,” he told the BBC, likening Canada Post’s situation to that of Blockbuster Video. Canada Post, a for-profit entity owned by the federal government, reported a C$749m loss during the 2023 fiscal year. Historically, the company’s primary operation was letter delivery, but letter volume has decreased from 5.5 billion pieces in 2006 to 2.3 billion in 2022 due to the internet’s rise, as per the company’s annual report. While parcel delivery has significantly grown with the advent of online shopping, Canada Post faces intense competition in this sector, particularly from Amazon, which utilizes its own couriers for many orders. The United States Postal Service (USPS) has encountered comparable challenges, reporting a $9.5bn net loss in its most recent fiscal year. On Friday, the USPS announced a halt to accepting mail destined for Canada, citing Canada Post “indicating that they are unable to process or deliver international mail or services as a result of the ongoing national strike.” As the strike has persisted, Canada Post’s financial condition has worsened further. The company reports having delivered 10 million fewer parcels since the strike began. This week, it initiated temporary layoffs of striking workers, a measure the union has labeled illegal. Canada Post has asserted that the layoffs comply with the Canada Labour Code. Some businesses indicate that the strike has prompted them to re-evaluate their delivery service providers. “We’re looking very hard at other parcel delivery services for the future,” stated John Barrett, director of sales and marketing for Vesey’s Seeds, Canada’s largest mail-order garden business. “I’d say their future is very dim.” He mentioned having 250,000 seed catalogues stored in a warehouse, unable to be delivered. This means he is not only incurring additional storage costs but also losing substantial business because his customers lack a catalogue from which to place orders. Earlier this month, the labour minister issued a back-to-work order to resolve a ports strike. However, there is no indication that the government intends to intervene in the postal workers’ dispute. When the BBC sought a comment, Mr. MacKinnon’s office referred to an interview the minister gave to Radio-Canada, where he stated: “This is a turning point for Canada Post and it is essential in my opinion that the employees, their union and the corporation agree on the path to follow for the future.” On X, Mr. MacKinnon also wrote that “as in all disputes, they alone are responsible for the consequences of this conflict, and for its resolution.” Mr. Barrett deemed that response inadequate. “It’s just remarkable that they’re allowing this to last as long as they’ve had with absolutely no indication whatsoever that they’re going to resolve it at any point in time,” he commented. “It’s time for government to act. 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